Will REITs ever come back?
REITs Could Offer Investment Opportunities in 2024
Bottom line. Investors eyeing REITs may find a potential recovery ahead. With rate cuts on the horizon, many publicly traded REITs have rebounded, and the industry as a whole seems well-poised for a recovery in the coming year.
But despite that, most REITs have kept growing their dividend. Most of them hiked in 2022, 2023, and will hike again in 2024. This is the ultimate proof that REITs are doing better than what the market appears to believe.
The global REIT market is experiencing steady growth. According to the recent market reports, the market size is reaching an impressive $3.5 trillion in 2022 and is estimated to reach USD 4.2 trillion by 2027, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.8% from 2022.
Since REITs typically employ heavy leverage to develop and manage properties, high interest rates tend to increase borrowing costs and at the same time slow down property appreciation. That could leave some REITs with less revenue to dish out to shareholders, making them slightly less attractive this year.
He and Charlie Munger, vice-chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, actively dismissed it for many years. However, Buffett has recently invested in REITs as part of his passive income strategy.
After lagging equities the past two years, REITs offer an attractive investment opportunity in 2024. The headwind of higher bond yields and central bank rate hikes is likely to abate and may turn into a tailwind if our view about an impending economic slowdown and decelerating inflation trends is correct.
Due in part to their attractive current yields, REITs have tended to deliver annualized total returns to investors of 10 to 12 percent over time.
What this means is that REITs are ideal borrowers for banks. They are exactly who they want to do business with because they know that the risk of a REIT bankruptcy is extremely low. Just look at the past. There have been very few REIT bankruptcies over the past 50+ years.
There is no set lifetime for the trust in most cases. Investors who buy publicly traded shares in a REIT can usually buy as much or little as they like and dispose of the shares when they want or need to. However, if an investor buys a non-traded or private REIT, the investment should be considered illiquid.
Why is REITs dropping?
The overall business performance of the S-REIT sector has been lacklustre and some segments of the industry have not been able to recover to pre-COVID levels, either due to a change in business dynamics or due to an inflationary environment. Office REITs have faced challenges due to the new work-from-home (WFH) trends.
1. Federal Realty: The king. Federal Realty has increased its dividend annually for 54 consecutive years, which it claims (and there's no reason to doubt it) is the longest streak of any publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT).
Are REITs Good Investments? Investing in REITs is a great way to diversify your portfolio outside of traditional stocks and bonds and can be attractive for their strong dividends and long-term capital appreciation.
Summary. REITs have access to capital and are acquiring assets, making it a good time to invest. REITs historically rebound when interest rates pivot and have the potential for rent growth.
Key Points. REITs have outperformed stocks on 20-to-50-year horizons. Most REITs are less volatile than the S&P 500, with some only half as volatile as the market at large.
During the past 25 years, REITs have delivered an 11.4% annual return, crushing the S&P 500's 7.6% annualized total return in the same period. Image source: Getty Images. One reason for REITs' outperformance is their dividends.
“We don't have any competitive advantage over experienced real estate investors in the field." Buffett himself said something similar and extended this to REITs: I think [real estate] tends to be more accurately priced, particularly more developed real estate, most of the time...
Leading REITs worldwide 2024, by market cap
Prologis, American Tower, and Welltower were the real estate investment trusts (REITs) worldwide with the largest market caps as of April 11, 2024. All three REITs were headquartered in the United States.
At that rate of return, a monthly investment of $300 in REITs would grow into $1 million in about 30 years. If you invested more money into REITs or those producing a higher average annual return, you could become a millionaire even faster.
They historically offer competitive long-term performance, with consistent returns compared to stocks and bonds.
Will 2024 be a better year to buy?
"2024 is bound to be a better year for homebuyers, if only because of how terrible 2023 was," says John Graff, CEO at Ashby & Graff Real Estate. Graff anticipates falling interest rates and increasing inventory could result in more opportunities for homebuyers in the months ahead.
No — experts do not think there is a housing market crash looming in 2024. Lending standards are much more strict now than they were before the Great Recession, and with low inventory and high demand both continuing, the housing market is not likely to enter a recession in the coming year.
To qualify as a REIT, a company must have the bulk of its assets and income connected to real estate investment and must distribute at least 90 percent of its taxable income to shareholders annually in the form of dividends.
Direct real estate investments may be more expensive upfront but give investors increased control and flexibility. Both real estate and REITs can help investors hedge inflation and market downturn risks. Both can also be a source of regular cash flow, though REITs are a much more passive investment than real estate.
| Symbol | Fund name | 1-year return |
|---|---|---|
| BRIUX | Baron Real Estate Income R6 | 12.08% |
| JABIX | JHanco*ck Real Estate Securities R6 | 11.07% |
| RRRRX | DWS RREEF Real Estate Securities Instil | 9.26% |
| CSRIX | Cohen & Steers Instl Realty Shares | 9.84% |
